OverconfidenceThe most consistently documented bias, and what it costs.EconomicsForms and consequences.FormsOverestimating one's own abilityOverprecision — intervals too narrowOverplacement — better than averageIllusion of control over random outcomesEconomic consequencesExcessive trading, reducing returnsBusiness failure rates underestimatedProject timelines systematically optimisticInsufficient insurance against tail risksThe planning fallacy is a special case: forecasts of one's own projecttimes are optimistic even by people who know this.Overconfidencelearnposters.com
Overconfidence — printable business wall chart from LearnPosters. Free vector PDF, US Letter and A4.

What’s on the Overconfidence poster

8 entries in 2 groups.

Forms and consequences.

The planning fallacy is a special case: forecasts of one's own project times are optimistic even by people who know this.

Questions about the Overconfidence poster

What’s on the Overconfidence poster?
8 entries in 2 groups. Forms and consequences. Forms: Overestimating one's own ability, Overprecision — intervals too narrow, Overpl…; Economic consequences: Excessive trading, reducing returns, Business failure rates un…. The planning fallacy is a special case: forecasts of one's own project times are optimistic even by people who know this.
Who is the Overconfidence poster for?
Overconfidence belongs to the Economics section rather than to a school year, because business is not something one grade owns. Anyone learning behavioural economics can pin it up — a beginner, a student mid-course, or someone revising years later.
When should you use the Overconfidence poster?
Most people rate themselves above average, which is arithmetically impossible. A wall chart earns its place by being glanceable from where the work is happening, so Overconfidence belongs on the wall where that business work actually happens, within glancing distance, rather than filed away.
What other posters go with Overconfidence?
Critiques of Behavioural Economics, Behavioural Finance and Choice Overload sit alongside Overconfidence in the Economics section. Printed together they make a wall rather than a single sheet, which is how a reference set actually gets used.Critiques of Behavioural EconomicsBehavioural FinanceChoice Overload
Is the Overconfidence poster free to download and print?
Yes. Overconfidence downloads as a free PDF with no account, no email and no watermark, like everything else in the Economics section. Print as many copies as you like for a home, a classroom, a library or a tutoring group; reselling the file is the only thing the licence rules out.Read the licence
What size does the Overconfidence poster print at?
Overconfidence is a vector PDF laid out for US Letter, and prints on A4 with Fit to page — the same file, no separate download. Because every mark on it is drawn rather than photographed, it stays sharp enlarged to A3, A2 or A1 at a copy shop. Colour carries emphasis only, so a greyscale print of Overconfidence loses nothing.Printing guide

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